Kaštel Gomilica vs Zmaj Makarska analysis

Kaštel Gomilica Zmaj Makarska
39 ELO 31
-6.7% Tilt 0.6%
34604º General ELO ranking 27838º
208º Country ELO ranking 152º
ELO win probability
64.5%
Kaštel Gomilica
18.6%
Draw
16.9%
Zmaj Makarska

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
Kaštel Gomilica
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.9%
Win probability
Zmaj Makarska
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kaštel Gomilica
+2%
-38%
Zmaj Makarska

Points and table prediction

Kaštel Gomilica
Their league position
Zmaj Makarska
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
11º
34
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Zagora Unešić
65
65
100%
HNK Zadar
60
60
100%
Junak Sinj
53
53
100%
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
45
45
0%
NK Uskok Klis
45
45
0%
Primorac Biograd
45
45
100%
Neretva
43
43
100%
Kaštel Gomilica
42
42
100%
Vodice
41
41
100%
Sloga Mravince
10º
39
39
10º
100%
Neretvanac
11º
38
38
11º
100%
GOŠK DBK
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Zmaj Makarska
13º
34
34
13º
100%
NK Kamen
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Split
15º
27
27
15º
100%
Urania
16º
25
25
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kaštel Gomilica
Zmaj Makarska
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kaštel Gomilica
Zmaj Makarska
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kaštel Gomilica
Kaštel Gomilica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
JUN
Junak Sinj
0 - 0
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
57%
22%
21%
38 42 4 0
25 Feb. 2023
NKG
Kaštel Gomilica
1 - 4
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
NKH
46%
25%
29%
40 40 0 -2
18 Feb. 2023
SPL
Split
1 - 4
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
40%
22%
38%
39 37 2 +1
26 Nov. 2022
NER
Neretvanac
1 - 1
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
16%
18%
66%
39 26 13 0
19 Nov. 2022
NKG
Kaštel Gomilica
3 - 0
HNK Zadar
HNK
17%
23%
60%
35 49 14 +4

Matches

Zmaj Makarska
Zmaj Makarska
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
1 - 2
Zagora Unešić
ZAG
16%
22%
62%
33 46 13 0
25 Feb. 2023
VOD
Vodice
1 - 2
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
63%
19%
18%
32 38 6 +1
18 Feb. 2023
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
2 - 2
GOŠK DBK
GOS
39%
26%
36%
33 36 3 -1
26 Nov. 2022
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
1 - 0
Urania
UBV
55%
23%
23%
32 28 4 +1
19 Nov. 2022
USK
NK Uskok Klis
6 - 0
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
56%
22%
23%
34 37 3 -2