Kaštel Gomilica vs Neretva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
11º
8º
43
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaštel Gomilica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
3 - 1
NKG
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
NKG
1 - 1
JUN
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKH
2 - 1
NKG
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NKG
1 - 0
SPL
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
NER
0 - 0
NKG
62%
20%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
ZAG
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VOD
3 - 1
NER
31%
22%
47%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
GOS
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
NER
0 - 2
NKG
22%
21%
58%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
UBV
2 - 2
NER
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |