Kaštel Gomilica vs HNK Zadar analysis

Kaštel Gomilica HNK Zadar
37 ELO 46
-10.5% Tilt 2.6%
34605º General ELO ranking 45752º
208º Country ELO ranking 266º
ELO win probability
29.9%
Kaštel Gomilica
25.3%
Draw
44.9%
HNK Zadar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
Kaštel Gomilica
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.9%
Win probability
HNK Zadar
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kaštel Gomilica
-6%
+53%
HNK Zadar

Points and table prediction

Kaštel Gomilica
Their league position
HNK Zadar
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
11º
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
HNK Zadar
68
71
100%
Zagora Unešić
64
67
100%
Junak Sinj
54
57
100%
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
47
50
100%
Kaštel Gomilica
46
46
100%
Neretva
39
42
62.5%
NK Uskok Klis
41
41
47%
NK Omiš
40
41
45.5%
Primorac Biograd
37
37
74.5%
Neretvanac
10º
36
36
10º
54.5%
Vodice
11º
34
35
11º
42%
Sloga Mravince
12º
33
34
12º
55.5%
GOŠK DBK
13º
31
32
13º
68.5%
NK Kamen
14º
30
30
14º
82.5%
Split
15º
27
28
15º
95%
Zmaj Makarska
16º
21
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kaštel Gomilica
HNK Zadar
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kaštel Gomilica
HNK Zadar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kaštel Gomilica
Kaštel Gomilica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
NKH
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
3 - 3
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
50%
24%
26%
38 41 3 0
02 Sep. 2023
NKG
Kaštel Gomilica
4 - 0
GOŠK DBK
GOS
54%
22%
24%
37 35 2 +1
26 Aug. 2023
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
2 - 2
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
35%
23%
43%
36 34 2 +1
27 May. 2023
NKG
Kaštel Gomilica
1 - 2
Neretvanac
NER
41%
22%
37%
37 37 0 -1
20 May. 2023
HNK
HNK Zadar
3 - 1
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
68%
18%
14%
37 45 8 0

Matches

HNK Zadar
HNK Zadar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
HNK
HNK Zadar
1 - 0
Sloga Mravince
SMR
67%
19%
14%
45 40 5 0
02 Sep. 2023
NER
Neretva
3 - 1
HNK Zadar
HNK
22%
25%
53%
47 35 12 -2
26 Aug. 2023
HNK
HNK Zadar
4 - 0
NK Kamen
KAM
72%
16%
11%
46 35 11 +1
22 Jul. 2023
HNK
HNK Zadar
0 - 3
NK Solin
SOL
35%
22%
43%
46 50 4 0
26 May. 2023
PRB
Primorac Biograd
1 - 2
HNK Zadar
HNK
31%
25%
44%
46 37 9 0