Kaštel Gomilica vs HNK Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
11º
5º
68
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
95% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaštel Gomilica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NKH
3 - 3
NKG
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NKG
4 - 0
GOS
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 2
NKG
35%
23%
43%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NKG
1 - 2
NER
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 1
NKG
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 0
SMR
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NER
3 - 1
HNK
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HNK
4 - 0
KAM
72%
16%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HNK
0 - 3
SOL
35%
22%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
PRB
1 - 2
HNK
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |