Gaj Mače vs Vrapče analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
18º
10º
62
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaj Mače
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
STR
4 - 1
NGM
10%
15%
74%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NGM
2 - 1
NUK
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LKV
2 - 1
NGM
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NGM
3 - 0
HAS
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NMP
1 - 1
NGM
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VRA
2 - 1
PON
68%
18%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 0
VRA
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VRA
3 - 1
MAK
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NTR
1 - 0
VRA
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VRA
3 - 0
BIS
58%
21%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |