Gaj Mače vs Samobor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
18º
10º
51
3º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaj Mače
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
3 - 1
NGM
71%
15%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NGM
1 - 1
NTR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
3 - 1
NGM
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NGM
2 - 1
KAR
25%
23%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SEG
3 - 0
NGM
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Samobor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 1
PON
41%
24%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DOO
2 - 0
SAM
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
3 - 2
SAM
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
NTR
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
BIS
3 - 1
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |