Fruskogorac Ilok vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
74.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HNK
0 - 2
HKS
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LUK
0 - 1
HNK
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HNK
0 - 1
OSI
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KAR
2 - 2
HNK
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HNK
1 - 4
SLA
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |