Darda vs Kutjevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
56.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
16º
15º
49
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SLA
4 - 0
DRD
77%
13%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DRD
2 - 1
VAL
38%
22%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 0
DRD
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DRD
3 - 0
ORI
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NKS
5 - 1
DRD
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kutjevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NKK
4 - 0
CRO
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NKK
3 - 1
SLA
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
NKK
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NKK
1 - 2
NAS
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
NKK
3 - 1
GRA
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |