Cres vs Krk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
11º
44
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 44 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
92% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 44 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 40 |
5º
|
97.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 38 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 36 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 32 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NKC
0 - 2
POM
13%
18%
69%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NNH
1 - 1
NKC
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NKC
1 - 0
NKC
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NKC
1 - 0
NKB
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEH
3 - 0
NKC
38%
23%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Krk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KRK
3 - 1
NKB
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEH
3 - 0
KRK
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KRK
1 - 0
NKR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PAZ
2 - 1
KRK
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KRK
1 - 1
NKK
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |