Čepin vs Kutjevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
15º
5º
49
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Čepin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SLA
4 - 0
CEP
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CEP
4 - 3
VAL
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
2 - 0
CEP
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CEP
1 - 0
ORI
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NKS
1 - 1
CEP
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kutjevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NKK
2 - 1
DRD
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 0
NKK
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SLA
1 - 0
NKK
77%
13%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NKK
1 - 0
VAL
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NAS
1 - 2
NKK
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |