NJS vs Ilves II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NJS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
NJS
3 - 3
ATL
55%
21%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
HPS
1 - 0
NJS
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
NJS
1 - 1
MUS
14%
18%
68%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
NJS
1 - 1
HJS
19%
23%
59%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
TPV
5 - 0
NJS
65%
19%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MUS
0 - 2
ILV
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
ILV
1 - 5
PII
51%
22%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
HJS
2 - 2
ILV
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
ILV
2 - 2
ATL
75%
15%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
PPJ
2 - 4
ILV
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |