Nissa FC vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIS
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CIT
0 - 2
NIS
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NIS
0 - 1
NUV
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 1
NIS
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NIS
0 - 2
POL
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
MES
34%
28%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACP
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
ACI
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |