Nissa FC vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TUR
0 - 2
NIS
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NIS
4 - 1
HYR
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 0
NIS
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
NIS
0 - 1
FOR
32%
26%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
NIS
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIT
2 - 1
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASD
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUR
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |