Nissa FC vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
6º
15º
6º
37
5º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 81 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
2% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 27 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 87% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
NIS
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
NIS
0 - 0
FAR
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
POM
1 - 1
NIS
24%
24%
53%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NIS
2 - 1
LOC
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NIS
2 - 1
ASD
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FCI
0 - 1
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
USV
1 - 2
FCI
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FCI
5 - 1
LIC
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AKR
0 - 2
FCI
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FCI
2 - 0
ACI
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |