Nissa FC vs ASD Castrumfavara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
6º
15º
6º
30
7º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 81 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
2% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 27 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
POM
1 - 1
NIS
24%
24%
53%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NIS
2 - 1
LOC
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NIS
2 - 1
ASD
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SIR
4 - 1
NIS
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NIS
4 - 1
PAT
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
ASD Castrumfavara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FAR
2 - 2
PAT
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
USV
4 - 0
FAR
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
0 - 0
LIC
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
AKR
0 - 1
FAR
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
1 - 3
REG
23%
28%
49%
|
32 | 78 | 46 | 0 |