Niort II vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
NIO
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NIO
4 - 2
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
NIO
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NIO
0 - 0
LIM
58%
20%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
NIO
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
BLA
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
TOU
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
TOU
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |