Niort II vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 4
NIO
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NIO
1 - 0
TOU
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NIO
6 - 1
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AUX
2 - 2
NIO
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 2
COG
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
LES
4 - 0
THO
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TOU
4 - 1
THO
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 0
THO
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
THO
1 - 1
AUX
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
COG
2 - 1
THO
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |