Niort II vs Malesherbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AUX
2 - 2
NIO
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 2
COG
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BLO
2 - 2
NIO
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NIO
1 - 1
SAU
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 4
NIO
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Malesherbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 0
THO
33%
26%
42%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
MAL
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 3
TOU
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
AUX
4 - 2
MAL
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BLO
1 - 3
MAL
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |