Niort II vs Mérignac-Arlac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GDB
1 - 0
NIO
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
NIO
0 - 1
FCP
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NIO
3 - 1
LES
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NIO
6 - 1
FEY
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BRE
3 - 3
NIO
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
LEG
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
POI
3 - 1
MAR
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
COZ
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BAY
2 - 1
MAR
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHA
42%
23%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |