Niort II vs Guéret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
14º
5º
14
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEG
1 - 5
NIO
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NIO
0 - 2
POI
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
NIO
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NIO
5 - 3
CHA
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 0
NIO
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guéret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GUE
1 - 2
POI
24%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GDB
4 - 0
GUE
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
GUE
72%
17%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GUE
1 - 1
PED
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 1
GUE
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |