Niort II vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CNF
0 - 2
NIO
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
NIO
49%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NIO
2 - 2
POI
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BAY
3 - 2
NIO
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NIO
0 - 1
BRE
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
COG
4 - 4
POI
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAY
4 - 1
COG
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
COG
0 - 2
BRE
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GDB
4 - 1
COG
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
COG
1 - 2
CHA
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |