Niort II vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
TAR
0 - 0
NIO
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
NIO
2 - 0
BLA
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
NIO
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
NIO
2 - 4
BER
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
NIO
3 - 1
ROD
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
COG
2 - 1
ROD
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
TOF
5 - 2
COG
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
COG
0 - 1
ANG
21%
26%
53%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
COG
2 - 0
LSS
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
COG
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |