Niort II vs Chatellerault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
STP
1 - 0
NIO
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NIO
0 - 0
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
NAN
0 - 0
NIO
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 0
NIO
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NIO
3 - 1
ANG
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
ANG
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BOU
2 - 0
CHA
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
THO
1 - 1
CHA
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 3
POI
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |