Niort II vs Bassin d'Arcachon Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+157%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
NIO
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 0
FCP
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LEG
1 - 1
NIO
49%
25%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NIO
0 - 2
CHA
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 1
MAR
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 3
BRE
18%
23%
59%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 3
COG
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LEG
4 - 0
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LES
0 - 1
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |