Provincial Belgium Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Ninove vs Appelterre-Eichem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ninove
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TKM
1 - 3
NIN
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NIN
0 - 0
VOO
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DIK
1 - 2
NIN
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NIN
1 - 2
WIK
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ZEL
3 - 2
NIN
52%
22%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Appelterre-Eichem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ZEL
3 - 2
APP
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
APP
1 - 1
LAA
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 1
APP
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
APP
2 - 3
RCL
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ROB
0 - 3
APP
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |