Nîmes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 0
NÎM
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
NÎM
1 - 3
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DIJ
0 - 1
NÎM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
NÎM
1 - 1
BOU
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
NÎM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
ETG
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
STL
0 - 3
VAL
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 1
BRE
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
LHA
3 - 2
VAL
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 2
SOC
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |