Nîmes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
CLE
2 - 0
NÎM
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
NÎM
2 - 0
ANG
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
DIJ
1 - 0
NÎM
52%
26%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
NÎM
2 - 0
STL
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
NÎM
1 - 0
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 1
VAL
71%
18%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 1
MPL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
AUX
1 - 1
VAL
51%
27%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 2
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |