Nîmes vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 1
NÎM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
NÎM
1 - 1
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
LUS
3 - 2
NÎM
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
NÎM
2 - 0
CSL
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
STL
1 - 1
NÎM
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
TFC
2 - 0
AMI
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
LIL
2 - 0
TFC
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
FCG
1 - 0
TFC
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
TFC
3 - 0
SOC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
LRO
1 - 1
TFC
13%
23%
64%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |