Nîmes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
NÎM
0 - 0
STR
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1979 |
REI
0 - 0
NÎM
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
NÎM
4 - 0
STL
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
NAN
4 - 0
NÎM
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
NÎM
2 - 2
LYO
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
LIL
4 - 0
REI
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1979 |
STR
3 - 0
LIL
67%
19%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
LIL
1 - 3
NAN
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
STL
3 - 3
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
LIL
3 - 1
PSG
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |