Nîmes II vs Sportive Fréjusienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nîmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FCA
3 - 2
NIM
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NIM
2 - 0
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIM
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NIM
1 - 1
NIC
34%
27%
38%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MON
3 - 1
NIM
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 2
CON
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 2
FRE
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FUR
1 - 0
FRE
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |