Nimba Kwado vs Freeport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
6º
26
10º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nimba Kwado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 1
NKW
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NKW
0 - 0
BEA
38%
28%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
NKW
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NKW
3 - 0
MUS
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
CCE
0 - 0
NKW
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Freeport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
PYC
1 - 1
FRE
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 3
LIS
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 0
FRE
59%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
WAT
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 2
FRE
67%
17%
15%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |