Nigeria U20 vs Sudán U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SDN
1 - 2
NGA
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NGA
2 - 1
BDI
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BDI
0 - 1
NGA
10%
19%
72%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
GER
1 - 0
NGA
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
HUN
0 - 2
NGA
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sudán U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SDN
1 - 2
NGA
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SDN
1 - 1
KEN
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
3 - 0
SDN
67%
20%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 0
SDN
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
JOR
0 - 0
SDN
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |