Nigeria U20 vs Nueva Zelanda U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
URU
2 - 2
NGA
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
KOR
0 - 1
NGA
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NGA
3 - 2
CMR
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
MLI
0 - 2
NGA
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
NGA
2 - 0
GAM
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Zelanda U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
KOR
1 - 0
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
NZL
0 - 1
URU
12%
18%
71%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
NZL
1 - 2
MEX
7%
16%
78%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
NZL
0 - 1
GAM
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
NZL
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |