Nigeria U20 vs Congo U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 3
NGA
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 2
URU
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 1
NGA
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
CUB
0 - 3
NGA
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 3
POR
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Congo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CGO
1 - 1
CIV
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 0
CGO
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CGO
2 - 1
RSA
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +3 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
3 - 0
CGO
90%
9%
2%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | -3 |
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
CAN
0 - 2
CGO
83%
13%
5%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +2 |