Niger vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 1
TAN
34%
26%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
NIG
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NIG
3 - 0
SOM
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 2
UGA
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TAN
1 - 0
NIG
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 2
CGO
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ZAM
3 - 0
UGA
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZAM
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
ZAM
8%
15%
78%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
ZAM
10%
21%
70%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |