Niger vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SLE
1 - 0
NIG
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 1
SLE
30%
25%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 1
NIG
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GHA
0 - 1
NIG
84%
12%
4%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MWI
1 - 0
TOG
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GHA
4 - 1
TOG
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
TOG
0 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TOG
1 - 2
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
TOG
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |