Niger vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
BFA
0 - 0
NIG
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
SEN
3 - 1
NIG
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
NIG
3 - 2
TOG
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
NIG
0 - 0
TOG
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1994 |
TUN
4 - 2
NIG
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
NAM
3 - 2
RSA
11%
21%
68%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
LSO
2 - 1
NAM
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
9%
19%
72%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
TUN
4 - 0
NAM
85%
12%
3%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
MOZ
1 - 1
NAM
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |