Niger vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
DZA
5 - 0
NER
86%
11%
3%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NER
2 - 0
GHA
14%
24%
63%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
NER
1 - 0
CMR
12%
22%
66%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
COG
0 - 0
NER
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MRT
2 - 0
NER
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MDG
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MDG
3 - 1
MOZ
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
SDN
0 - 3
MDG
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
MDG
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MDG
2 - 1
GHA
14%
24%
62%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |