Niger U20 vs Túnez U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
TUN
3 - 0
NIG
78%
14%
7%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
ALG
2 - 0
NIG
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SEN
2 - 0
NIG
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NIG
3 - 2
SEN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Túnez U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
TUN
3 - 0
NIG
78%
14%
7%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 2
TUN
25%
23%
53%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 1
TUN
25%
23%
53%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 2
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 1
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |