Nigelec vs ASFAN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
USG
2 - 1
NIG
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NIG
1 - 1
SAH
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NIG
0 - 1
GNN
30%
29%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NIG
1 - 1
AKO
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
BOU
3 - 2
NIG
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
ASFAN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
JAN
0 - 1
ASF
22%
29%
49%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 0
ASF
12%
24%
64%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TAH
0 - 1
ASF
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SON
0 - 0
ASF
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ASF
0 - 0
SAH
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |