Nieuwenhoorn vs Poortugaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
16º
15º
43
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
3 - 1
NIE
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 2
ASW
46%
21%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZWA
5 - 3
NIE
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 0
RVV
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LRC
1 - 0
NIE
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poortugaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
POO
3 - 1
RKA
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 2
POO
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POO
1 - 3
VOC
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEE
1 - 1
POO
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POO
3 - 2
CAP
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |