Nieuwenhoorn vs ODIN '59 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
11º
6º
44
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WNC
1 - 3
NIE
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 2
NIE
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 2
GOE
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
NIE
45%
22%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NIE
4 - 2
JOD
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ODIN '59
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ODI
3 - 1
ZWA
72%
16%
11%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOE
2 - 2
ODI
37%
24%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ODI
4 - 1
ACH
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
JOD
1 - 0
ODI
15%
18%
68%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ODI
2 - 3
SMI
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |