Nieuwenhoorn vs LRC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
16º
15º
44
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NIE
1 - 0
WES
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 2
NIE
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RKA
0 - 2
NIE
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NIE
0 - 0
SMI
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HEE
0 - 2
NIE
31%
22%
48%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
LRC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LRC
1 - 1
RKA
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 0
LRC
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LRC
6 - 1
VOC
62%
19%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAP
4 - 3
LRC
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LRC
3 - 2
DSO
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |