Nieuwenhoorn vs Achilles Veen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
11º
6º
36
4º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JOD
0 - 3
NIE
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NIE
2 - 0
SHO
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NIE
2 - 1
NIE
39%
23%
39%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NIE
1 - 0
HEE
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 1
NIE
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles Veen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
ZWA
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 0
SCF
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ZWA
2 - 2
ACH
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
POO
1 - 3
ACH
27%
24%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ACH
7 - 0
ACH
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |