Nieto CD vs Club Peñasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
83.3%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nieto CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 0
NIE
35%
21%
44%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NIE
1 - 2
COY
17%
18%
65%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATV
4 - 1
NIE
74%
15%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NIE
4 - 2
DES
51%
20%
29%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
NIE
2 - 6
CSE
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Club Peñasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NES
1 - 5
PEÑ
7%
12%
81%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEÑ
6 - 0
MOL
93%
5%
2%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COY
1 - 0
PEÑ
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
ATV
68%
16%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
DES
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |