Niendorfer TSV vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
6º
4º
34
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niendorfer TSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 1
NIE
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NIE
3 - 1
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NIE
6 - 2
WAN
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NIE
3 - 1
BUC
83%
12%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
NIE
4 - 1
WAN
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ATB
1 - 3
DAS
6%
11%
84%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
THA
0 - 0
ATB
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ATB
2 - 0
WIL
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +3 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
RUG
2 - 4
ATB
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HNT
0 - 3
ATB
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |