Niendorfer TSV vs Curslack-Neuengamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
6º
4º
23
1º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niendorfer TSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
THA
0 - 3
NIE
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 1
NIE
39%
22%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NIE
2 - 1
RUG
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
VHG
5 - 2
NIE
43%
22%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 1
NIE
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
PAL
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
5 - 2
CUR
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 3
WIL
35%
21%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 3
CUR
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
3 - 3
OSD
37%
22%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |