Nice vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 2
MPL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 0
APO
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
APO
2 - 0
NIC
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 3
ASS
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 0
VAL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAR
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
VAL
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 0
TFC
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |