Nice vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 1
NIC
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
REN
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 0
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NIC
0 - 2
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
MPL
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ETG
2 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 0
VAL
42%
29%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUX
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |