Nice vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASS
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
REN
2 - 2
NIC
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
GIR
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
USB
3 - 3
NIC
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 1
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 2
LYO
19%
25%
57%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
PSG
2 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VAL
0 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
GIR
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |