Nice vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ASS
4 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 3
MON
41%
29%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIC
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NIC
0 - 3
MPL
55%
26%
19%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 2
MAR
27%
27%
45%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MET
2 - 0
VAL
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SOC
2 - 5
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
USB
56%
24%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 1
VAL
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |